US Futures Surge, Bonds Drop as Fed Decision Impending

    According to Bloomberg News, the US equity futures surged on Wednesday. The bonds felt the pressure as investors are about to embrace the largest Federal Reserve hike in interest rate since 2000 and are waiting for more hints on how effectively it will tame inflation. 

    More on it

    S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 contracts were found pushing higher after a second straight advance daily in the trading of US shares during a tumultuous Tuesday. Stocks were found wavering in Asia amidst a dip in Chinese technology companies in China, Japan. And Hong Kong is closed. 

    Bonds limped under the influence of monetary tightening across the globe. The three-year yield of Australia was found surging by about 11 basis points to become at the top at 3.1%. This was followed by a mixed Wall Street session for the Treasuries that left the US 10-year yield at just under 3% Treasury futures dropped. Due to the Japan break, there has been noncash trading. 

    A dollar gauge was found holding almost close to a two-year high. The greenback’s strength reflects caution over a wide range of risks spanning tightening of the financial conditions, aside from the Covid lockdowns in China and the Russian invasion in Ukraine. 

    The Federal Reserve is anticipated to hike rates by as much as 50 basis points Wednesday and plans in detail to reduce the balance sheet. The critical aspect for the markets will be if Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary will contain any hawkish surprises that will stoke the concerns related to the threat of a slowdown in the United States as there is a surge in the borrowing costs. 

    Bloomberg News reports that half-point moves by the Federal Reserve are fully priced in June, July, and September by the swap traders, the most aggressive trajectory in 30 years. Any indication that there might be a surge by a more significant basis point like 75 basis points could upset the markets. 

    The recent data from the United States indicates record levels of employment opportunities. Workers have been giving up their jobs in March, implying the possibility of higher wages feeding into the pressures of the prices. 

    Oil was found edging up to approximately $103 per barrel in commodities, whereas gold dipped towards $1,860 per ounce. 

    The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and Europe is the latest theme of the current week’s MLIV Pulse survey. The fact that ECB is moving towards the close of quantitative easing, invariably, it is being concluded that it will be a hard landing for Europe and how that would impact the assets. 



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