Morgan Stanley Says S&P 500 Ready to Join Bear Market

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    According to Bloomberg News, the S&P 500 is on the verge of dropping sharply, according to Michael J Wilson of Morgan Stanley, as he warned. Investors are struggling to find safer havens amidst fears of an impending recession and the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening

    On Monday, Morgan Stanley strategists noted that since the defensive stocks are expensive now and offer only slight absolute upside, the S&P 500 seems it is ready to join the prevailing bear market. The situation is so picked over in the market that it is becoming difficult to assess the point when the next rotation lies. As per experts, when such a situation arises, it has been seen that the overall index slides down along with all the other stocks that drop simultaneously. 

    The S&P 500 index has plunged for three weeks now, dropping to the lowest level since mid-March on Friday as the investors have run away from risky assets amidst fears that there will be faster monetary tightening and that it will have an impact on the economic growth. According to Jerome Powell, the fed Chair’s endorsement of the aggressive actions to curtail inflation has sent traders to race-in to costs in half percentage point interest rate surges at the following four meetings of the bank. 

    Setting up the trend

    Strategists at Morgan Stanley say that a rapid tightening Fed is looking right amid a slowdown. Although defensive positions have worked in favor since November, there will not be more upside for the stocks as there is a swelling of the valuations. 

    Simultaneously, Bloomberg News reports that strategists say the large-cap biotech and pharms shares’ defensive nature has them outperform consistently in an environment of slow earnings growth, thereby decelerating PMIs and stringent monetary policies

    Strategists have also been writing that as the US economy is moving to a late-cycle phase and there is a deceleration in the GDP earnings or growth rates for the entire economy as well as the market, it is being thought that Biotech/Pharma’s defensive characteristics will outweigh policy concerns and will drive relatively higher performances in the process. 



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